Middle East
Across the Middle East, old conflicts coexist with new diplomatic openings, while demographic pressures and economic diversification efforts reshape national priorities. GCIRD studies these evolving dynamics to understand how the region navigates internal strains and external influence.
The war imposed on Iran and its impact on ASEAN
Higher energy costs, shipping disruption, inflation, fiscal strain, and intensifying great-power pressure are reshaping ASEAN as the war imposed on Iran turns a...
April 22, 2026
The Price of Safe Transit
A ceasefire has frozen the US‑Israel‑Iran conflict but not restored free passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran now proposes a per‑vessel toll...
April 21, 2026
Forty-Eight Hours to Breakdown: The Narrow Path Between Ceasefire and Escalation in the U.S.–Iran Crisis
With the ceasefire hours from expiration, the real question is no longer whether tensions will rise, but whether Washington and Tehran can still...
April 20, 2026
The Hormuz Shock Is Reordering Energy Power
The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz is doing more than unsettling oil and gas markets. It is accelerating a strategic shift toward...
April 20, 2026
The Hidden Security Costs of the U.S.-Iran War
The ceasefire between the United States and Iran has paused open hostilities, but it has not restored stability. The deeper effects of the...
April 20, 2026
The Military Anatomy of the Israel-United States war on Iran
An in-depth look at the weapons, airpower, missiles, drones, defense industries, materials, and strategic logic shaping the Israel-Iran war, with close attention to...
April 7, 2026
The Pacific’s Geoeconomic Exposure to the Persian Gulf Shock
The Pacific Island countries are not insulated from the war by distance. Their heavy dependence on imported fuel, limited storage, fragile shipping links,...
April 6, 2026
Strategic Non-Closure in the War on Iran
The unprecedented expenditure of Tomahawk missiles in the war imposed on Iran reveals more than the scale of coalition firepower. It exposes the...
by Amin Nouri
April 6, 2026
The War Imposed on Iran as a Contest Between Operational Disintegration and Strategic Non Closure
Air superiority, deep strike, and systems attack have given the coalition operational dominance, but Iran’s buried missile architecture, theater-wide punishment strategy, maritime leverage,...
by Amin Nouri
April 6, 2026
Israel’s Campaign in Lebanon and the Structural Weakening of Hezbollah
Israel’s campaign in Lebanon is not aimed at ending the conflict with Hezbollah but at exploiting a rare moment of weakness to push...
March 20, 2026
