Global Affairs & Security

ChatGPT Image Jul 9, 2026, 03_42_07 PM

Hormuz, Bab al-Mandab and the contest to reroute power between the Indian Ocean and Europe

July 9, 2026

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How the Islamic Republic of Iran is preserving sovereign choice during wars

July 8, 2026

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The Aras Order: Azerbaijan, Israel and the Campaign to Bypass Iran in the South Caucasus

July 8, 2026

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Bougainville, New Caledonia and the Coming Struggle for Pacific Statehood

July 8, 2026

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Israel’s Drone Industrial Rebuild and the Contest for the Low-Cost Battlefield

Israel built its drone power around long-endurance aircraft, advanced sensors and precision weapons. The wars since 2023 exposed a different requirement: thousands of cheap, replaceable drones for reconnaissance, attack and interception. The resulting industrial race is testing Israel’s ability to combine technological sophistication with mass production, secure supply chains and sustainable battlefield economics.

Israel’s Drone Industrial Rebuild and the Contest for the Low-Cost Battlefield

The Aras Order: Azerbaijan, Israel and the Campaign to Bypass Iran in the South Caucasus

Bougainville, New Caledonia and the Coming Struggle for Pacific Statehood

Russia’s long-range campaign against Ukraine’s national systems

China’s submarine missile test and the struggle over Pacific security

Iran’s Military Reconstitution and the Political Economy of Strategic Endurance

China’s submarine missile test and the struggle over Pacific security

China's submarine-launched ballistic missile test exposed how quickly nuclear modernisation, alliance politics and Pacific security are becoming connected. The launch showed progress in...

July 8, 2026

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Iran’s Military Reconstitution and the Political Economy of Strategic Endurance

Iran’s postwar military recovery will be shaped by industrial resilience, dispersed production, asymmetric force design and carefully managed external partnerships. Tehran is likely...

June 30, 2026

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The Pentagon’s 300,000-Drone Competition Is an Experiment in Industrialized Attrition

The Pentagon’s plan to acquire roughly 300,000 small attack drones should be understood as an attempt to construct a new military production system...

June 30, 2026

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Mossad and the Reconstitution of Israeli Grand Strategy

Mossad’s transition under Roman Gofman reflects a wider transformation in Israeli grand strategy, in which intelligence, covert action, political warfare and technological dominance...

June 30, 2026

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The Draghi Agenda and Europe’s Shrinking Margin for Delay

Legal implementation has advanced since 2024, but Europe’s economic position will continue to deteriorate unless governments accept the financial, institutional and political consequences...

June 30, 2026

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The Strategic Logic and Political Limits of Trump’s Foreign Policy

Trump has imposed a clearer hierarchy on American commitments, although his reliance on coercion and personal diplomacy often works against the consolidation his...

June 30, 2026

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Iran’s Theory of Survival and Ascent

Threshold Sovereignty offers an Iranian theory of power after the old order, arguing that Iran’s survival and ascent depend on converting pressure, geography,...

May 5, 2026

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Why Abu Dhabi Walked Away from OPEC and What It Means for the GCC

Abu Dhabi’s exit from OPEC discipline signals the end of collective cartel management in the Persian Gulf. Divergent fiscal clocks between Saudi Arabia...

May 2, 2026

Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir, UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed al-Nahyan and Bahraini Foreign Minister Khalid bin Ahmed al-Khalifa attend a press conference after their meeting that discussed the diplomatic situation with Qatar, in Cairo

Security Without Command, Energy Without OPEC: China’s Strategy in the Persian Gulf

China is not trying to become the Persian Gulf’s next security patron. Instead, it offers a new model, which is security without command,...

May 1, 2026

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Strategic Culture in International Relations and the United States and Its Uncontrollable Addiction to War

The United States has built a national security apparatus that makes war the most administratively convenient response to foreign policy challenges, creating a...

April 26, 2026

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