Transnational Threats & Terrorism

Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir, UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed al-Nahyan and Bahraini Foreign Minister Khalid bin Ahmed al-Khalifa attend a press conference after their meeting that discussed the diplomatic situation with Qatar, in Cairo

Why Abu Dhabi Walked Away from OPEC and What It Means for the GCC

May 2, 2026

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Security Without Command, Energy Without OPEC: China’s Strategy in the Persian Gulf

May 1, 2026

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How Pope Leo XIV Redefines Vatican Political Interference

April 25, 2026

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How Ukraine Rewrites the Economics of Combat Power in the New Revolution of Military Affairs

April 25, 2026

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Iran’s Theory of Survival and Ascent

Threshold Sovereignty offers an Iranian theory of power after the old order, arguing that Iran’s survival and ascent depend on converting pressure, geography, and resistance into strategic capacity.

Why Abu Dhabi Walked Away from OPEC and What It Means for the GCC

Security Without Command, Energy Without OPEC: China’s Strategy in the Persian Gulf

How Pope Leo XIV Redefines Vatican Political Interference

Europe’s New Infrastructure War Against Russia-Linked Cyber Threats

Forty-Eight Hours to Breakdown: The Narrow Path Between Ceasefire and Escalation in the U.S.–Iran Crisis

The War Imposed on Iran as a Contest Between Operational Disintegration and Strategic Non Closure

Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Iran, Energy Security, and the Future of US-China Rivalry

The Strait of Hormuz crisis has become a test of global energy security, US credibility, China’s strategic positioning, and alliance cohesion in an...

April 25, 2026

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The Algorithmic Battlefield: How Artificial Intelligence Is Reshaping Modern Warfare Without Accountability

Artificial intelligence now drives targeting decisions in Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran, compressing kill chains from days to minutes. Yet no one is held...

April 22, 2026

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Forty-Eight Hours to Breakdown: The Narrow Path Between Ceasefire and Escalation in the U.S.–Iran Crisis

With the ceasefire hours from expiration, the real question is no longer whether tensions will rise, but whether Washington and Tehran can still...

April 20, 2026

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AI and the Future of Critical Infrastructure Security

A new generation of frontier AI is changing the balance between attack and defense in cyberspace. As models begin to discover and combine...

April 20, 2026

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The Hormuz Shock Is Reordering Energy Power

The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz is doing more than unsettling oil and gas markets. It is accelerating a strategic shift toward...

April 20, 2026

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French Nuclear Deterrence and Europe’s New Strategic Order

France’s 2026 nuclear speech marks a more explicit European turn in its deterrence posture without abandoning sovereign control. The shift is strategically important...

April 20, 2026

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France’s Delayed Rearmament

France’s 2026 update to the Military Programming Law improves the credibility of defense planning by funding capabilities that had long been under-resourced. Yet...

April 20, 2026

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The Hidden Security Costs of the U.S.-Iran War

The ceasefire between the United States and Iran has paused open hostilities, but it has not restored stability. The deeper effects of the...

April 20, 2026

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The Military Anatomy of the Israel-United States war on Iran

An in-depth look at the weapons, airpower, missiles, drones, defense industries, materials, and strategic logic shaping the Israel-Iran war, with close attention to...

April 7, 2026

Photos purporting to show U.S. aircraft destroyed during the U.S. mission to find a stranded airman in Iran

The Pacific’s Geoeconomic Exposure to the Persian Gulf Shock

The Pacific Island countries are not insulated from the war by distance. Their heavy dependence on imported fuel, limited storage, fragile shipping links,...

April 6, 2026

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